Astana, 10 November. Kazakhstan’s real GDP growth for January to October 2026 was 4.5%, according to preliminary data from the Bureau of National Statistics, up 0.3 percentage points from the nine-month figure, the Ministry of National Economy said.
The main contribution, the report says, came from the non-resource sector: by preliminary estimate it grew 5.6%. Industrial output rose 3.5%, while manufacturing accelerated from 8.6% over nine months to 9.3% over ten. Pharmaceuticals grew fastest (50.9%), followed by fabricated metal products (30.4%), machinery (22.2%), chemicals (21.9%) and rubber and plastic products (18.1%). Food production added 13% and building materials 5.4%.
Among services and other sectors, construction grew 13.1%, transport and storage 7.5%, trade 6.2%, agriculture 5.2% and communications 4.9%.
From these figures one can derive what the ministry does not state. An acceleration of 0.3 points means that growth over nine months was 4.2%. Manufacturing is growing 2.7 times faster than industry as a whole, 9.3% against 3.5%, so the rest of industry, probably mining above all, is growing noticeably more slowly. The report has no data on oil or the extractive sector. Nominal GDP is not given either.
What it means: The economy is growing faster than in early autumn, pulled along by the non-resource sector, processing and construction. A positive contribution from mining is not named, and the pace of manufacturing is 2.7 times that of industry as a whole.
Who benefits: The benefit depends on the sector: by official data, pharmaceuticals, metalworking and machinery gained most. What the growth means for household incomes and the budget, the report does not say.
Background: Real GDP growth is the increase in output net of inflation. The Bureau of National Statistics’ preliminary figures for a period are usually revised.
